Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
No. Your plays are based on all available info at the time you make the play. If it is a close call just play basic strategy rather than try to fine tune your TC estimate with finer deck estimation. There isn't much +EV near the index so you aren't costing yourself much and may be saving EV. A common issue with newbies is they cost themselves a lot by trying to overuse index plays and use them when they shouldn't. Sort of a show yourself how much you learned but you are not being smart. The frequency of occurrence of .1 TC or less below the index is higher than the frequency .1 TC or less above the index for positive indices. That means erring consistently that amount below the index (using the index early) costs more than consistently using it late by the same TC offset.
And that's exactly the kind of answer I wanted to hear, thank you Tthree.