Hmm. New to AP and asking that question is a sign of very good progress. So, you’re playing surrender after peek. Clearly, you’re playing hi lo, so let’s take first a superficial approach and then (as G Man says - and the way you sell the whole thing) take a deeper dive.
EV maximizing says break even is True +3.0. Definitely insure your 19’s and 20’s. Insuring your 15’s 16’s means you’re either very dumb or have a few smarts upstairs. For myself, I’ll play inferior? 3.0 and not insure. The higher the true count gets, the more likely I will insure those lousy hands. For that matter, I might insure 19’s and 20’s below true 3.0. The determining factor is a little concept I call QTC - Quality of True Count (a story for another day).
Now, you’ve lost the insurance bet and you now surrender. The smarter pit boss will determine you’re either very good or very bad. The dumber pit boss will just think you’re stupid. Either way, think about making some dumb plays in neutral or negative counts. Keep in mind that some “dumb” plays are actually very good plays - won’t bore you with examples.
Yes, it will draw some attention so some gleeful hootin and hollerin may be in order. The higher the stakes the more the play will be looked at. As you’re fairly new, you’re probably playing lower stakes, so sell it and don’t worry about it.
Edit - make that a whoopin and a whoppin - more gleefully corresponds to the blazing saddles link
https://youtu.be/SkQ8_Xr_zVY?si=PXV8p4a-jPIsMMrS
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