I agree. I have been using this count as well and had the same observation when I began. it gives you a more accurate calculation on the true count and can swing either way more rapidly.
A free update to CVCX V6 and CVData V6 is now available with an overhauled optimal betting calculation engine. First, a few words on Kelly criterion:
First described in 1956, Kelly criterion is...
That depends. The OP wrote the following: 2) Then dealer dealt two cards to player and player draw cards according to basic strategy.
I tend to answer the question that was asked, without...
Specifically, if the dealer has more than two uncovered cards in his hand, then the dealer is likely to have more low cards than high cards. This is a big deal for Double Deck games.
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Depends, of course, on the game, spread, etc. But for 4.5/6, 1-12 or 1-16, S17, DAS vs. S17, DAS, LS, the gains are more than 50%. See BJA3, p. 232.
Don
In that case, the expected value of the three bets in boxes 1, 2, and 3 given the prior probabilities of the target ace appearing in each one is
(0.40)(0.5208)(x) + (0.15)(0.5208)(y) +...