That is great data. I am using the KO system (mostly playing 6D, H17, DAS); IRC = -20.
With that said, would it be too much to ask for you to provide similar data as above, but for the KO system...
Yep, I believe this is the correct approach. Therefore, if the Ace didn't land in the first spot, the probabilities increase for the following spots:
25% (instead of 15%) for the second spot, 16.7%...
Here's how I would look at it.
Successes of card landing on spot 1, spot 2, spot 3, eventually somewhere
success(1) = .4
success(2) = .15
success(3) = .1
success(>3) = .35
if trial 1 fails...
Three boxes, A=40%, B=15%, C=10%.
"The 40% event did not happen", remaining 60%.
In this 60%, 15% is in B, 10% is in C.
Therefore, 15/60 will be in B, 10/60 will be in C, and 35/60 went somewhere...
But he wasn't asking for EVs. He was asking for the probability of a card landing in one of the first three boxes and then the probability after one sees that box 1 isn't successful that it will land...
Here's example to show relationship:
Single deck, S17, SPL1, SPLA1, NDAS
Overall EV best strategy: +.0248%
EV given up card A: -36.03%
EV given up card 2: +9.995%
EV given up card 3: +13.59%...
So, a total of 65%.
Did you mean this? Doesn't make sense. Did you mean to say "of the second and third box when the 40% event did not happen?"? If you did, then you have 65% left for those...
In a normally cutted game, the probability of receiving a single given card will never be as high as 40%.
The probability of receiving a 10,J,Q,K may reach 40% and will go up if the next card is a...
A question for math-minded folks...
If the prior probabilities of a given card landing on the first box, second box, third box are 40%, 15%, 10%, respectively,
what is the posterior probabilities...
You need to get over this paranoia and also learn what kind of variance is typical and can be expected. A true AP does not even begin to think of such things just for losing 80 units (assuming you...
None of the above. What you won in actual play has no bearing on SCORE, which is a theoretical calculation equal to the EV^2/SD^2, the latter of which are based on very specific standardized...
Never heard that. You will need to explain more clearly. A screen image would be useful as I don't know which of the 40 data screens.
Keep in mind that splits mean more than one hand.
In cvdata I have a question in the part where the actual accounts are: profit, loss, tie, IBA TBA Etc....
the sum of hands won, hands lost, draws etc... is not always correct.
I attach an...
CVCX files include all sim information by depth by card. Currently with eight decks, by 52 to 156 cards remaining. Multiply that by possibly 16 rules sets and numbers of decks. The files are quite...
Hello, Don. May I ask a question regarding how you calculate SCORE?
To simplify my question, assume I play head to head to dealer and TC remains small/negative so I bet table minimal $10 in the...
